Vol. CCXXXVIII · No. 191 · A Chronicle of Record
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The Nation

Sabato's Crystal Ball Shifts More Than a Dozen House Races Toward Democrats

Nonpartisan forecaster Sabato's Crystal Ball is moving House races toward Democrats in the campaign's final week, according to The Hill.

By the Staff The Nation
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From the pages of The Federal Chronicle.

The Hill reported that Sabato's Crystal Ball, a nonpartisan election forecaster, is shifting more than a dozen House races toward Democrats in the final week of the campaign. The report described the moves as "another sign of a worsening political environment for Republicans."

According to The Hill, Crystal Ball is a division of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics. The report said the forecaster has moved dozens of races toward Democrats in recent weeks.

The Hill's headline gives the number as 16, while its summary describes more than a dozen, a difference the available text does not resolve. The summary does not name the districts, so the exact count could not be checked race by race.

The article is by Ford McCracken. The summary does not give the names of the races, the reasons Crystal Ball offered for the changes, or any response from campaigns or party committees. The summary also does not state the total number of races the forecaster has moved.

This account is drawn only from the headline and summary of The Hill's report on the Crystal Ball shifts, and it does not reflect the full text of that article.

The Hill's summary places the shifts in the campaign's final week and describes them as part of a broader movement of races toward Democrats in recent weeks.

Several points remain unclear in The Hill's report, including the list of races and the timing of each change.

The Chronicle has not independently verified the figures in The Hill's report, and this story includes no other outlet's account of the shifts.

Sources: The Hill: Sabato's Crystal Ball moves 16 House races toward Democrats.

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